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Indiana State Fair Stage Collapse
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<blockquote data-quote="Ryan Lantzy" data-source="post: 34365" data-attributes="member: 7"><p>Re: Another Stage Collapse</p><p></p><p>One complicating aspect is that many people, including myself sometimes, only give casual thought to what the weatherman says. People often complain about how inaccurate weather forecasting is.</p><p></p><p>What should be more widely communicated, is that our ability to predict severe weather events in the hours to minutes before, and locate nasty storms is quite good. I'm reminded of when a (locally) famous and beloved weatherman, Joe Denardo from Pittsburgh visited my school when I was young. One of the students asked "Mr. Denardo, can you really predict the weather? Isn't that like telling the future?" Joe's answer was simple... as far as long term forecasting goes (several days to weeks out) it's mostly a guess based on models. As for short term forecasting (tomorrow, and more specifically the next few hours) it's pretty accurate globally. I.e. over the forecast area, if they say there is a chance of rain or a thunderstorm, somewhere in that area it will happen. As for locally specific events tornadoes and severe weather is about all you can count on, <strong>so heed the warnings</strong>.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Ryan Lantzy, post: 34365, member: 7"] Re: Another Stage Collapse One complicating aspect is that many people, including myself sometimes, only give casual thought to what the weatherman says. People often complain about how inaccurate weather forecasting is. What should be more widely communicated, is that our ability to predict severe weather events in the hours to minutes before, and locate nasty storms is quite good. I'm reminded of when a (locally) famous and beloved weatherman, Joe Denardo from Pittsburgh visited my school when I was young. One of the students asked "Mr. Denardo, can you really predict the weather? Isn't that like telling the future?" Joe's answer was simple... as far as long term forecasting goes (several days to weeks out) it's mostly a guess based on models. As for short term forecasting (tomorrow, and more specifically the next few hours) it's pretty accurate globally. I.e. over the forecast area, if they say there is a chance of rain or a thunderstorm, somewhere in that area it will happen. As for locally specific events tornadoes and severe weather is about all you can count on, [B]so heed the warnings[/B]. [/QUOTE]
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