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The Basement
running commentary on middle east policy and news.
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<blockquote data-quote="John Roberts" data-source="post: 49212" data-attributes="member: 126"><p>Re: running commentary on middle east policy and news.</p><p></p><p>While a general technique used for investing, international matters need to be looked at for the potential upside and downside. </p><p></p><p>In this case the downside of accommodating the Iranian regime is welcoming another nuclear equipped combatant into the middle east. Iran has a track record of supporting terrorists and insurgencies in their neighbors. Gaining nuclear weapons is not likely to make them a better neighbor. I find it interesting that even Hamas and Hezbollah are distancing themselves from Iran these days. </p><p></p><p>This is more of a concern for nations in the middle east, and my suspicion is that they are secretly hoping Israel will prevent Iran from getting the bomb, so they can go back to business as usual, hating Israel again. </p><p></p><p>JR</p><p></p><p>PS: An interesting footnote to the missing WMD, is that now there are international concerns about securing the stockpiles in Syria which may be left unprotected if the Assad government falls. <a href="http://thecable.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2012/02/24/exclusive_state_department_quietly_warning_region_on_syrian_wmds" target="_blank">Exclusive: State Department quietly warning region on Syrian WMDs | The Cable</a> it is widely speculated than Saddam moved some of his goodies to Syria in the run up to his war. He certainly had time and opportunity, with a Bathist friendly community in Syria. For the record the WMD was not the single justification for the invasion, but the one that resonated with the public so it alone got played up in the press. Apparently the public can't be expected to grasp multiple concepts at the same time. There is a long list of mistakes in the prosecution of that conflict, but at this point that ship has sailed. While we always need to study history so we don't repeat it. However there appear to be different versions of the history out there, depending on POV.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="John Roberts, post: 49212, member: 126"] Re: running commentary on middle east policy and news. While a general technique used for investing, international matters need to be looked at for the potential upside and downside. In this case the downside of accommodating the Iranian regime is welcoming another nuclear equipped combatant into the middle east. Iran has a track record of supporting terrorists and insurgencies in their neighbors. Gaining nuclear weapons is not likely to make them a better neighbor. I find it interesting that even Hamas and Hezbollah are distancing themselves from Iran these days. This is more of a concern for nations in the middle east, and my suspicion is that they are secretly hoping Israel will prevent Iran from getting the bomb, so they can go back to business as usual, hating Israel again. JR PS: An interesting footnote to the missing WMD, is that now there are international concerns about securing the stockpiles in Syria which may be left unprotected if the Assad government falls. [url=http://thecable.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2012/02/24/exclusive_state_department_quietly_warning_region_on_syrian_wmds]Exclusive: State Department quietly warning region on Syrian WMDs | The Cable[/url] it is widely speculated than Saddam moved some of his goodies to Syria in the run up to his war. He certainly had time and opportunity, with a Bathist friendly community in Syria. For the record the WMD was not the single justification for the invasion, but the one that resonated with the public so it alone got played up in the press. Apparently the public can't be expected to grasp multiple concepts at the same time. There is a long list of mistakes in the prosecution of that conflict, but at this point that ship has sailed. While we always need to study history so we don't repeat it. However there appear to be different versions of the history out there, depending on POV. [/QUOTE]
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