Since enough of the public will not or cannot "get it" that their behavior is responsible for transmission (or they don't care, for whatever reasons), I predict we'll be dealing with this for another 2 years (earliest, because there will be vaccine resistance, distribution time, etc). I expect 50% of production shops to close, bankrupting owners who've spent decades building their companies. The vast swath will come from the middle - firms like Clair will survive in some way, and small shops where the owner doesn't depend on the production biz as sole income - are likely to make it. In between? It's gonna be bad.
Those who've "pivoted" (I HATE that fucking term) successfully into installation will find their work drying up, eventually. Once the back log of work is done the need for so many install firms will diminish. It will have delayed, but not prevented, the inevitable for some.
The elections in the USA do not help. An already hyper-political environment which put biology and epidemiology into the center of political partisanship, where the result is the general public, regardless of their political views, becomes the loser in the pissing contest.
So how am I doing? Living on what's left of my benefits while eying a 2021 that is far less certain than I'd previously hoped. My benefits run out right before Christmas. My health insurance will be unaffordable next year. I'm looking at my personal inventory of "stuff I'm unlikely to use again" for initial liquidations. The result is a Paul Kersey rage every time I see people deliberately flaunting their non-compliance with mask and occupancy orders. I've watched sports bars fill up to unhealthy numbers, I've noted events like weddings and family reunions turning into clusters of coronavirus infections. When it's not enraging, it's heartbreaking to know that people are willingly sacrificing the health of others for some misguided sense of self-worth or entitlement. My county went from under 10% positive rate to almost 18% in 3 weeks. Very rural counties are getting hammered - one has 100% infection in a nursing home while over 50% of their staff is positive, too. The novel coronavirus didn't care that their county only has 4000 people it in, they left themselves open to infection spread.
In late June I was hopeful, but after armed "militias" disrupted the Michigan legislature, I knew that it was over. Regardless of what one thinks politically, no governor is going to risk armed battle with white citizens - at the very least the optics favor the insurrection; "big bad Gov activates the National Guard". At the worst you deliver bodies in bags, and that's usually a bad thing at election time. And it's all over masks, limiting unnecessary gathering of persons from different households, and enhanced hygiene. If folks would wear masks, stay respectfully distanced, and not go out for hours on end, they could more safely go out. But because of the binary nature of human behavior, any relaxing of restrictions results in immediate reversion to "party like it's 2019." Apparently I'd forgotten that 'the college experience' was centered on lots of alcohol and screaming, too, and that high school sports is a religion that requires sacrificing public health as a condition of orthodoxy.
The pandemic is likely to cause my premature (and consequently unaffordable) retirement before I'm eligible for Medicare. So find the Crayons® labeled "Bitter" and "Angry". Color me.